2050.pl - THE JOURNEY TO THE LOW-EMISSION FUTURE

In 2012 our two institiutes initiated efforts to prepare a document analysing possibilities of transforming the Polish economy into a low-emission one by 2050.

The economy respecting the natural environment, taking into account interest not only of current but also future generations, for which a clean air, an untouched landscape and the public health are not less important than the financial profit. Today we provide you with an elaboration – a result of our work. We hope that it will become a roadmap of low-emission development of Poland by 2050, helpful at making strategic decisions in our industrial, energy, transport, environmental and regional policy.

A central concept of the report 2050.pl – journey to low-emission future is modernisation. We understand it not only strictly a development of the economy, but rather of the civilisation characterised by a change in the hierarchy of values appreciated by Polish society and Polish politics following the same pattern as it does in the countries of the developed North. We are convinced that Poland of the future needs to be a creative, institutionally competitive and culturally attractive country, but before everything else the country aware of the fact that the growth cannot take place at someone else’s expense – citizens of developing countries and future generations. To make this happen we have to change our ways of thinking and behaving and invest in innovativeness, resources efficiency and quality of public institutions. In the report we prove, while analysing a complex modernisation package in the Polish energy sector, the industry, agriculture and services, that such a modernisation is at the fingertips.

"...After over 20 years of the transition to the market economy and fostered by European integration, Poland can choose between two broad future paths. The first one retains the current status quo with respect to the reform agenda and delayed reaction to global trends. In this scenario unwillingness to undertake important structural reforms will make Poland follow the path of the South European countries and fall into the middle income trap. The alternative is a modernisation scenario, in which future development is based on three pillars: (1) high quality public institutions and legislation, (2) creativity and innovativeness and (3) resource and human resource efficiency. Reforms targeting these areas will improve Polish chances to reach high level of development and join the group of European and global economic leaders by 2050..." 2050.pl - the journey to the low-emission future

Reports

THE INTRODUCTION TO THE REPORT

The decisions taken today determine whether in the future Poland will be an economic tiger or a straggler in a world which rushes ahead. If they are taken without robust and in-depth economic analysis, in 20-30 years Poland may be pushed to the peripheries of developed countries. Bearing this mind, the Low-Emission Poland 2050 Project was inspired by the observation that, in contrast to many European countries, Poland had no document  in place which would set out the direction of…

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Reports

Part V - THE CLIMATE FOR CLIMATE POLICY

In the Polish public debate there is now a clash between three views on the European climate policy: sceptics take action to reduce its importance, minimalists want to keep the policy in its present shape, while its supporters take efforts to ensure that more ambitious targets are set for the future. Almost all the important actors of public life (including political parties, the public administration and the majority of business representatives)  represent the first two of the…

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Reports

Part IV - THE ECONOMICS OF LOW-EMISSION MODERNISATION

In this part, we sum up the significance of the low-emission transformation for Poland’s modernisation in the coming forty years. Here, we try to deal with the misgivings presented by those who are sceptical about the shift from the coal orientation in our energy sector: its high costs for investors, its adverse impact on energy prices and costs of living, a threat for economic growth and the problem of energy security. In the light of the doubts voiced by opponents of climate…

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